I think you're overly optimistic/pessimistic as to the number of players we'll be missing, assuming no new injuries:
1. Baxter
2. Walker
3. Kerrod
4. Lewies
5. Symons
6. J. Chisholm
7. Wallace (When is Evans back?)
8. Lawday
9. Care
10. Allan
11. Murley
12. Andre/Jones (we'd be very unlucky to lose both!)
13. Northmore
14. Greene
15. David
16. Gray 17. Garcia-Botta/Els 18. Collier 19. Tizard 20. White 21. Gjaltema 22. Edwards 23. Morris/Chisholm
I agree that we don’t need to be that pessimistic. When I wrote ‘worst case’ that’s exactly what I meant …
I don’t actually think it will be worst case scenario.
I do think Kenningham and Lynagh have a decent chance of being capped against Tonga. I’ll be more annoyed if they’re not and we find ourselves in a similar situation to Wasps with Odogwu last year i.e. they’re unavailable to us, but not actually playing for England either.